Niva Dolbizno 2-1 Shakhtyor Petrikov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.22
Draw
13%
6.26
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
78%
-6.5pp
13%
Draw
13%
+0.4pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niva Dolbizno EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtyor Petrikov EU Bookmakers 12%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +1%
5.30/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.68
+102% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
365 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niva Dolbizno
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Shakhtyor Petrikov
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
12.11.2023 Niva Dolbizno Niva Dolbizno 1-3 HT 1-1 Shakhtyor Petrikov Shakhtyor Petrikov BLR1
09.07.2023 Shakhtyor Petrikov Shakhtyor Petrikov 1-3 HT 1-0 Niva Dolbizno Niva Dolbizno BLR1
POST-MATCH Niva Dolbizno vs Shakhtyor Petrikov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niva Dolbizno edged past Shakhtyor Petrikov 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Niva Dolbizno as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Niva Dolbizno and 2.00 for Shakhtyor Petrikov.

What was the final score of Niva Dolbizno vs Shakhtyor Petrikov?

Niva Dolbizno 2-1 Shakhtyor Petrikov in the Belarus - 1st Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niva Dolbizno vs Shakhtyor Petrikov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niva Dolbizno win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Niva Dolbizno 71%, draw 13%, Shakhtyor Petrikov 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Niva Dolbizno), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Niva Dolbizno) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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