Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-6 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.68
Over 2.5
37%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
53%
Away Win
62%
-8.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.5pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 66%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.40/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.77
-48% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
253 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Levski Sofia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
27.11.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-2 HT 0-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
30.07.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 6-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
08.04.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1-6
AWAY Levski Sofia
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia ran out comfortable winners over Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 42% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 58%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 3.00 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Levski Sofia?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-6 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 22%, draw 25%, Levski Sofia 53%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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