Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv v Arda Kardzhali — Team-Based Signals
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Arda Kardzhali
BUL1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 Arda Kardzhali — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiv Plovdiv squeezed past Arda Kardzhali 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Lokomotiv Plovdiv found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 51% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 49%, shots finished 2-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 0.50 for Arda Kardzhali.
What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 38%, draw 25%, Arda Kardzhali 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.