Yangpyeong 1-2 Gyeongju HNP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.69
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
24%
-3.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+0.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yangpyeong EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 53%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.13/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.32
+4% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
254 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yangpyeong
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Gyeongju HNP
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.04.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 2-0 HT 1-0 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong GK3L
16.07.2023 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong 0-1 HT 0-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
02.04.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-1 HT 0-1 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong GK3L
POST-MATCH Yangpyeong vs Gyeongju HNP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP nicked a narrow win over Yangpyeong 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gyeongju HNP as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gyeongju HNP led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Yangpyeong and 1.00 for Gyeongju HNP.

What was the final score of Yangpyeong vs Gyeongju HNP?

Yangpyeong 1-2 Gyeongju HNP in the South Kore - K3 League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yangpyeong vs Gyeongju HNP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Yangpyeong 21%, draw 30%, Gyeongju HNP 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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