Gimhae City 1-1 Daejeon Korail — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.1pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -29%
1.38/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.50
-6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimhae City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Daejeon Korail
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
05.04.2024 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-1 HT 0-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
11.11.2023 Gimhae City Gimhae City 2-0 HT 1-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
17.06.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 2-2 HT 1-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
13.08.2022 Gimhae City Gimhae City 1-0 HT 1-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
16.04.2022 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
24.07.2021 Gimhae City Gimhae City 3-3 HT 2-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
POST-MATCH Gimhae City vs Daejeon Korail
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimhae City and Daejeon Korail couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gimhae City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimhae City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gimhae City and 1.17 for Daejeon Korail.

What was the final score of Gimhae City vs Daejeon Korail?

Gimhae City 1-1 Daejeon Korail in the South Kore - K3 League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimhae City vs Daejeon Korail?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimhae City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gimhae City 45%, draw 26%, Daejeon Korail 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimhae City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimhae City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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