Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 20 Jul 2024

Fortaleza CEIF
1-1 HT 1-1
Deportes Tolima
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.03
No
63%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.5pp
35%
Draw
31%
+3.6pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
45%
-8.1pp
63%
BTTS No
55%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortaleza CEIF v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +26%
1.31/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.20
-20% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +40%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
269 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
15.0 Crosses 12.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1

Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.11 xG 3.24
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
228 Passes 344
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
6 Box Touches 37
5 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.01.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-2 HT 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
31.03.2014 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-1 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL

Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1-1
AWAY Deportes Tolima
0.51 xG 0.34
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
355 Passes 227
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportes Tolima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF and Deportes Tolima couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 35% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 59% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 41%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.51 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 1.00 for Deportes Tolima.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportes Tolima?

Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportes Tolima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 36%, draw 35%, Deportes Tolima 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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