TransINVEST Vilnius 2-2 Suduva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.6
Over 2.5
51%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-8.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+10.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Suduva EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Suduva
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
24.05.2024 Suduva Suduva 0-1 HT 0-1 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
07.04.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 0-2 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs Suduva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransINVEST Vilnius and Suduva shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for TransINVEST Vilnius and 1.00 for Suduva.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs Suduva?

TransINVEST Vilnius 2-2 Suduva in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Suduva?

Before kick-off our model rated a TransINVEST Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 37%, draw 26%, Suduva 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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