FK Panevezys 1-2 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 39%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
2.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.73/1.86
+73% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
07.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
25.10.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
07.07.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 3-0 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
04.05.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
19.03.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Panevezys
1-2
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris edged past FK Panevezys 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Kauno Zalgiris made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Panevezys had 63% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris's 37%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FK Panevezys and 0.33 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs Kauno Zalgiris?

FK Panevezys 1-2 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 33%, draw 30%, Kauno Zalgiris 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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