Ceramica Cleopatra 4-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.27
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.61
6+ Goals
7%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 31% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.40/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.36
-24% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
15.2 Crosses 14.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.54 xG 1.26
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 20
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
263 Passes 373
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2024 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 3-5 HT 1-2 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
4-0
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
2.99 xG 0.69
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
393 Passes 308
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 11
7 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ceramica Cleopatra vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceramica Cleopatra swept aside Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ceramica Cleopatra as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Ceramica Cleopatra had 53% of the ball to Baladiyyat Al Mehalla's 47%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.99 to 0.69.

What was the final score of Ceramica Cleopatra vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?

Ceramica Cleopatra 4-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla in the Egypt - Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceramica Cleopatra vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceramica Cleopatra win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ceramica Cleopatra 49%, draw 24%, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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