Molde 2-3 KFUM Oslo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 20 Jul 2024

Molde
2-3 HT 1-2
KFUM Oslo
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Molde vs KFUM Oslo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.96
6+ Goals
14%
8.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.96
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.8
X/1
13%
3.88
X/2
10%
10.85
X/X
9%
6.15
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.9
2/2
9%
7.96
2/X
7%
16.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.9 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-5.7pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Molde v KFUM Oslo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
2.21/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.40
+28% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +77%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
34.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
19.6 Crosses 12.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Molde vs KFUM Oslo Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
1W-0D-0L
AWAY KFUM Oslo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
23 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 0
The Meetings
01.06.2017 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-2 HT 1-0 Molde Molde NOK

Molde 2-3 KFUM Oslo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Molde
2-3
AWAY KFUM Oslo
1.52 xG 1.89
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
493 Passes 328
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
36 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Molde vs KFUM Oslo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFUM Oslo edged past Molde 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Molde at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Molde had 60% of the ball to KFUM Oslo's 40%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.52 to 1.89.

What was the final score of Molde vs KFUM Oslo?

Molde 2-3 KFUM Oslo in the Norway - Eliteserien on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde vs KFUM Oslo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Molde 53%, draw 22%, KFUM Oslo 24%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Molde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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