Tacuary 2-4 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
14%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
53%
Away Win
59%
-5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tacuary EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 62%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.11/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.74
+21% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +1%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
251 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tacuary
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Libertad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Tacuary Tacuary 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
27.02.2024 Libertad Libertad 1-1 HT 0-1 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
30.11.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-2 HT 0-1 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
16.09.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 0-4 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
09.05.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 3-0 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
26.02.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 1-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tacuary
2-4
AWAY Libertad
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tacuary vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad got the better of Tacuary 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tacuary had 50% of the ball to Libertad's 50%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tacuary and 1.17 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Tacuary vs Libertad?

Tacuary 2-4 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tacuary vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Tacuary 24%, draw 23%, Libertad 53%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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