LKS Lodz II 3-1 SKRA Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 28% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LKS Lodz II EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 19%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +19%
1.51/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.44
-18% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LKS Lodz II
0W-2D-2L
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2024 LKS Lodz II LKS Lodz II 2-2 HT 1-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
03.05.2024 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 3-0 HT 3-0 LKS Lodz II LKS Lodz II POL2
29.10.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 0-0 HT 0-0 LKS Lodz II LKS Lodz II POL2
22.10.2023 LKS Lodz II LKS Lodz II 1-3 HT 1-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LKS Lodz II
3-1
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH LKS Lodz II vs SKRA Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LKS Lodz II beat SKRA Czestochowa 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had LKS Lodz II as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, LKS Lodz II had 49% of the ball to SKRA Czestochowa's 51%, shots finished 18-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, SKRA Czestochowa led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for LKS Lodz II and 2.00 for SKRA Czestochowa.

What was the final score of LKS Lodz II vs SKRA Czestochowa?

LKS Lodz II 3-1 SKRA Czestochowa in the Poland - 2nd Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LKS Lodz II vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated a LKS Lodz II win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split LKS Lodz II 52%, draw 23%, SKRA Czestochowa 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LKS Lodz II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LKS Lodz II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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