Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2-0 Polonia Bytom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 20 Jul 2024

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2-0 HT 2-0
Polonia Bytom
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Polonia Bytom Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.76
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
51%
1.92
4-5 Goals
19%
2.83
6+ Goals
9%
7.78
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.92 — our 51% vs market 45.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
24%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
33%
-6.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki v Polonia Bytom — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 46%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
0.78/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-44% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +28%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.0

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2-0 Polonia Bytom — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2-0
AWAY Polonia Bytom
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Polonia Bytom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki saw off Polonia Bytom 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Polonia Bytom at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki had 48% of the ball to Polonia Bytom's 52%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Polonia Bytom?

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2-0 Polonia Bytom in the Poland - 2nd Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Polonia Bytom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 27%, draw 29%, Polonia Bytom 44%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL2 More Poland - 2nd Division
20 Jul 2024
13:00 LKS Lodz II vs SKRA Czestochowa Analysis →
15:45 KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Resovia Rzeszow Analysis →