Kalmar 2-2 IK Brage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 20 Jul 2025

Kalmar
2-2 HT 1-0
IK Brage
📅20/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2025

Kalmar vs IK Brage Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.42
Draw
30%
4.34
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.9
2-3 Goals
45%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.97
6+ Goals
8%
9.24
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 23% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.68
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
18.25
X/1
15%
3.89
X/2
8%
15.1
X/X EV+ ✗
19%
6.68
2/1
6%
22.45
2/2
9%
12.85
2/X
6%
21.15
Value flag · X/X at 6.68 — our 19% vs market 11.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
67%
-20.0pp
30%
Draw
20%
+9.7pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kalmar v IK Brage — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalmar EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Brage EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.76/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.56
-4% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Kalmar vs IK Brage Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalmar
3W-1D-0L
AWAY IK Brage
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.16 xG 1.19
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
274 Passes 433
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.02.2021 Kalmar Kalmar 1-0 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇK
10.11.2019 Kalmar Kalmar 2-2 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ
06.11.2019 IK Brage IK Brage 0-2 HT 0-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
10.03.2013 Kalmar Kalmar 3-0 HT 2-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇK
POST-MATCH Kalmar vs IK Brage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalmar and IK Brage couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kalmar at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kalmar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kalmar and 0.50 for IK Brage.

What was the final score of Kalmar vs IK Brage?

Kalmar 2-2 IK Brage in the Sweden - Superettan on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalmar vs IK Brage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 47%, draw 30%, IK Brage 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kalmar), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kalmar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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