Varbergs 0-2 GIF Sundsvall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.09
6+ Goals
9%
20.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 31% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.51
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
19%
4.25
X/2
9%
8.41
X/X
18%
4.43
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
12%
7.1
2/X
6%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY GIF Sundsvall EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +16%
2.03/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.23
+29% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs
2W-1D-0L
AWAY GIF Sundsvall
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2024 Varbergs Varbergs 3-0 HT 1-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
27.04.2024 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-1 HT 0-0 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇ2
01.03.2020 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-4 HT 1-2 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varbergs
0-2
AWAY GIF Sundsvall
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Varbergs vs GIF Sundsvall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIF Sundsvall saw off Varbergs 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Varbergs at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Varbergs had 52% of the ball to GIF Sundsvall's 48%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Varbergs had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Varbergs and 0.67 for GIF Sundsvall.

What was the final score of Varbergs vs GIF Sundsvall?

Varbergs 0-2 GIF Sundsvall in the Sweden - Superettan on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs vs GIF Sundsvall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Varbergs 43%, draw 30%, GIF Sundsvall 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Varbergs) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varbergs) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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