Varbergs 3-0 GIF Sundsvall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 16 Aug 2024

Varbergs
3-0 HT 1-0
GIF Sundsvall
📅16/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Varbergs vs GIF Sundsvall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.33 — our 27% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.42
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
17%
4.32
X/2
7%
8.45
X/X
12%
4.92
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
12%
6.21
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
14.0
Value flag · 2/X at 14.0 — our 9% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Varbergs v GIF Sundsvall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY GIF Sundsvall EU Bookmakers 27%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.78/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.55
+8% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
360 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Varbergs vs GIF Sundsvall Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs
1W-1D-0L
AWAY GIF Sundsvall
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2024 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-1 HT 0-0 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇ2
01.03.2020 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-4 HT 1-2 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇK
POST-MATCH Varbergs vs GIF Sundsvall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs cruised past GIF Sundsvall 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Varbergs as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Varbergs had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Varbergs and 1.00 for GIF Sundsvall.

What was the final score of Varbergs vs GIF Sundsvall?

Varbergs 3-0 GIF Sundsvall in the Sweden - Superettan on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs vs GIF Sundsvall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Varbergs 48%, draw 28%, GIF Sundsvall 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varbergs), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Varbergs) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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