IK Oddevold 2-1 Utsiktens BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 29% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.84
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
12%
4.63
X/2
11%
7.06
X/X
17%
4.58
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
13%
5.14
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Oddevold EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 31%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
0.74/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.39
-53% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Oddevold
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Utsiktens BK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
34% Ball Possession 66%
15 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
29.06.2024 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 2-3 HT 1-1 IK Oddevold IK Oddevold İSÇ2
09.09.2019 IK Oddevold IK Oddevold 1-1 HT 1-1 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ3
02.06.2014 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 1-1 HT 0-0 IK Oddevold IK Oddevold İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Oddevold
2-1
AWAY Utsiktens BK
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IK Oddevold vs Utsiktens BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Oddevold squeezed past Utsiktens BK 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had IK Oddevold as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, IK Oddevold had 38% of the ball to Utsiktens BK's 62%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, IK Oddevold had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for IK Oddevold and 1.33 for Utsiktens BK.

What was the final score of IK Oddevold vs Utsiktens BK?

IK Oddevold 2-1 Utsiktens BK in the Sweden - Superettan on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Oddevold vs Utsiktens BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Oddevold win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split IK Oddevold 41%, draw 28%, Utsiktens BK 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Oddevold) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IK Oddevold) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
16 Aug 2024
20:00 Varbergs vs GIF Sundsvall Analysis →