Utsiktens BK 2-3 IK Oddevold — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
17.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 30% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.21
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.6
X/1
11%
4.78
X/2
10%
6.15
X/X
9%
4.42
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
16%
4.54
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Oddevold EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.43/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.76
-3% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
309 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utsiktens BK
0W-2D-0L
AWAY IK Oddevold
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
09.09.2019 IK Oddevold IK Oddevold 1-1 HT 1-1 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ3
02.06.2014 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 1-1 HT 0-0 IK Oddevold IK Oddevold İSÇ3
POST-MATCH Utsiktens BK vs IK Oddevold
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Oddevold squeezed past Utsiktens BK 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Utsiktens BK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Utsiktens BK and 1.00 for IK Oddevold.

What was the final score of Utsiktens BK vs IK Oddevold?

Utsiktens BK 2-3 IK Oddevold in the Sweden - Superettan on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utsiktens BK vs IK Oddevold?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utsiktens BK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Utsiktens BK 42%, draw 27%, IK Oddevold 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Utsiktens BK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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