Degerfors 4-1 Sandvikens IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 29 Jun 2024

Degerfors
4-1 HT 3-0
Sandvikens IF
📅29/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Degerfors vs Sandvikens IF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.31
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.2
X/1
18%
5.41
X/2
14%
6.21
X/X
8%
4.81
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
17%
4.02
2/X
6%
12.35
Value flag · 1/X at 12.2 — our 11% vs market 5.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Degerfors v Sandvikens IF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Degerfors EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandvikens IF EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.51/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.72
+2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.3
POST-MATCH Degerfors vs Sandvikens IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Degerfors ran out comfortable winners over Sandvikens IF 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Degerfors found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Degerfors vs Sandvikens IF?

Degerfors 4-1 Sandvikens IF in the Sweden - Superettan on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Degerfors vs Sandvikens IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Degerfors win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 38%, draw 25%, Sandvikens IF 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Degerfors), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Degerfors) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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