GIF Sundsvall 1-1 Varbergs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.49
6+ Goals
11%
13.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.88
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.65
X/1
11%
5.8
X/2
13%
5.48
X/X
12%
4.54
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
14%
3.58
2/X
8%
12.6
Value flag · 1/X at 12.65 — our 11% vs market 5.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.1pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIF Sundsvall EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs EU Bookmakers 40%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -51% / -51%
1.38/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-8% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -51%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIF Sundsvall
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Varbergs
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
01.03.2020 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-4 HT 1-2 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIF Sundsvall
1-1
AWAY Varbergs
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH GIF Sundsvall vs Varbergs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIF Sundsvall and Varbergs shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, GIF Sundsvall had 52% of the ball to Varbergs's 48%, shots finished 18-18.

What was the final score of GIF Sundsvall vs Varbergs?

GIF Sundsvall 1-1 Varbergs in the Sweden - Superettan on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIF Sundsvall vs Varbergs?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIF Sundsvall win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split GIF Sundsvall 36%, draw 31%, Varbergs 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (GIF Sundsvall) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GIF Sundsvall) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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