Örgryte 2-2 Östers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 27 Apr 2024

Örgryte
2-2 HT 1-0
Östers
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Örgryte vs Östers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
47%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 28% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.54
1/2
11%
24.0
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
11%
7.49
X/2
15%
4.36
X/X
8%
4.91
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.61
2/X
10%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Örgryte v Östers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örgryte EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Östers EU Bookmakers 52%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.12/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.44
-21% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
191 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Örgryte vs Östers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örgryte
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Östers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Östers Östers 2-0 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
08.05.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 2-2 HT 1-2 Östers Östers İSÇ2
22.10.2022 Östers Östers 2-2 HT 2-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
18.04.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 0-1 HT 0-1 Östers Östers İSÇ2
22.08.2021 Östers Östers 0-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
11.04.2021 Örgryte Örgryte 0-1 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2

Örgryte 2-2 Östers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örgryte
2-2
AWAY Östers
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Örgryte vs Östers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örgryte and Östers shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Östers at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Örgryte had 41% of the ball to Östers's 59%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östers led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Örgryte and 1.33 for Östers.

What was the final score of Örgryte vs Östers?

Örgryte 2-2 Östers in the Sweden - Superettan on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örgryte vs Östers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Östers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Örgryte 27%, draw 26%, Östers 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Östers), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Östers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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