Weston Bears 5-3 Adamstown Rosebuds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-7.3pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.0pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.6pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston Bears EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Adamstown Rosebuds EU Bookmakers 24%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.64/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/3.85
-29% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -47%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
464 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston Bears
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Adamstown Rosebuds
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.04.2025 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 0-4 HT 0-3 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
28.07.2024 Weston Bears Weston Bears 6-0 HT 4-0 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNSW
25.04.2024 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 0-2 HT 0-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
15.07.2023 Weston Bears Weston Bears 2-2 HT 1-2 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNSW
25.04.2023 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 2-2 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
26.06.2022 Weston Bears Weston Bears 3-1 HT 2-1 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
POST-MATCH Weston Bears vs Adamstown Rosebuds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston Bears beat Adamstown Rosebuds 5-3. Half-time: 2-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Weston Bears as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Weston Bears had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Weston Bears and 0.83 for Adamstown Rosebuds.

What was the final score of Weston Bears vs Adamstown Rosebuds?

Weston Bears 5-3 Adamstown Rosebuds in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston Bears vs Adamstown Rosebuds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston Bears win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Weston Bears 53%, draw 21%, Adamstown Rosebuds 26%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston Bears), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Weston Bears) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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