Moreton City Excelsior 2-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒09:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.7pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.0pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.2pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern Suburbs Brisbane EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.01/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/2.51
-16% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.7
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreton City Excelsior
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
11.06.2025 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 2-2 HT 0-0 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVSQ
POST-MATCH Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior beat Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Moreton City Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane?

Moreton City Excelsior 2-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Moreton City Excelsior 56%, draw 21%, Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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20 Jul 2025
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