Baranovichi 3-2 Lida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baranovichi EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Lida EU Bookmakers 34%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.79/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.69
+12% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baranovichi
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Lida
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Lida Lida 3-0 HT 0-0 Baranovichi Baranovichi BLR1
21.10.2023 Baranovichi Baranovichi 4-2 HT 2-2 Lida Lida BLR1
14.11.2021 Lida Lida 2-3 HT 1-0 Baranovichi Baranovichi BLR1
28.08.2021 Baranovichi Baranovichi 0-4 HT 0-2 Lida Lida BLR1
13.06.2021 Lida Lida 1-2 HT 0-1 Baranovichi Baranovichi BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baranovichi
3-2
AWAY Lida
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Baranovichi vs Lida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baranovichi squeezed past Lida 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Baranovichi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Baranovichi had 58% of the ball to Lida's 42%, shots finished 17-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Baranovichi had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Baranovichi and 2.40 for Lida.

What was the final score of Baranovichi vs Lida?

Baranovichi 3-2 Lida in the Belarus - 1st Division on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baranovichi vs Lida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baranovichi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Baranovichi 38%, draw 26%, Lida 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baranovichi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baranovichi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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