Tochigi SC 1-2 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-5.6pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 33%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
0.87/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.31
-34% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.3 Crosses 17.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi SC
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Sagamihara
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
382 Passes 297
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.02.2025 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-0 HT 1-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP3
09.08.2021 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
11.04.2021 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
1-2
AWAY Sagamihara
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
353 Passes 187
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara squeezed past Tochigi SC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Sagamihara made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 63% of the ball to Sagamihara's 37%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sagamihara led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Tochigi SC and 0.33 for Sagamihara.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs Sagamihara?

Tochigi SC 1-2 Sagamihara in the Japan - J3 League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tochigi SC win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 34%, draw 32%, Sagamihara 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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