Sagamihara 1-0 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+4.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-6% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.7 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Tochigi SC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
09.08.2021 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
11.04.2021 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
1-0
AWAY Tochigi SC
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
297 Passes 382
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara nicked a narrow win over Tochigi SC 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Sagamihara made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Sagamihara had 48% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 52%, shots finished 6-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sagamihara and 0.00 for Tochigi SC.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC?

Sagamihara 1-0 Tochigi SC in the Japan - J3 League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tochigi SC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 33%, draw 29%, Tochigi SC 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tochigi SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tochigi SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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