Ryukyu 0-1 Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 22 Feb 2025

Ryukyu
0-1 HT 0-0
Osaka
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.5pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.7pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-9.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Osaka EU Bookmakers 49%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.29/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.31
+15% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses 16.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ryukyu
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Osaka
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
53% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
329 Passes 247
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-1 HT 1-0 Osaka Osaka JAP3
06.05.2024 Osaka Osaka 0-1 HT 0-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
12.08.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-3 HT 0-2 Osaka Osaka JAP3
18.06.2023 Osaka Osaka 3-0 HT 1-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
0-1
AWAY Osaka
61% Ball Possession 39%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
367 Passes 204
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osaka squeezed past Ryukyu 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; Osaka found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ryukyu had 61% of the ball to Osaka's 39%, shots finished 5-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Osaka led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Ryukyu and 1.75 for Osaka.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs Osaka?

Ryukyu 0-1 Osaka in the Japan - J3 League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 32%, draw 32%, Osaka 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osaka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Osaka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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