Ryukyu 1-1 Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 28 Sep 2024

Ryukyu
1-1 HT 1-0
Osaka
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Osaka EU Bookmakers 42%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
1.51/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.84
+17% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ryukyu
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Osaka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2024 Osaka Osaka 0-1 HT 0-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
12.08.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-3 HT 0-2 Osaka Osaka JAP3
18.06.2023 Osaka Osaka 3-0 HT 1-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
1-1
AWAY Osaka
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
329 Passes 247
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ryukyu and Osaka couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ryukyu had 56% of the ball to Osaka's 44%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Osaka led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ryukyu and 2.00 for Osaka.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs Osaka?

Ryukyu 1-1 Osaka in the Japan - J3 League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 34%, draw 28%, Osaka 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Osaka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osaka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP3 More Japan - J3 League
28 Sep 2024
08:00 Omiya Ardija vs Sagamihara Analysis →
09:00 FC Gifu vs Zweigen Kanazawa Analysis →
12:00 Imabari vs Vanraure Hachinohe Analysis →