Omiya Ardija vs Sagamihara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Omiya Ardija v Sagamihara — Team-Based Signals
Omiya Ardija vs Sagamihara Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sagamihara
JAP2
2-1
HT 0-1
Omiya Ardija
JAP2
Omiya Ardija 4-1 Sagamihara — Actual Match Statistics
Omiya Ardija cruised past Sagamihara 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Omiya Ardija as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Omiya Ardija had 62% of the ball to Sagamihara's 38%, shots finished 23-13.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Omiya Ardija and 1.00 for Sagamihara.
What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Sagamihara?
Omiya Ardija 4-1 Sagamihara in the Japan - J3 League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Sagamihara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 42%, draw 27%, Sagamihara 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.