Sagamihara 1-1 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 20 Mar 2024

📅20/03/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+8.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 52%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
250 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Omiya Ardija
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2021 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP2
21.03.2021 Sagamihara Sagamihara 2-1 HT 0-1 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
1-1
AWAY Omiya Ardija
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara and Omiya Ardija couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Omiya Ardija at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sagamihara had 46% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 54%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sagamihara and 1.00 for Omiya Ardija.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Omiya Ardija?

Sagamihara 1-1 Omiya Ardija in the Japan - J3 League on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 35%, draw 25%, Omiya Ardija 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Omiya Ardija), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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