Parceiro Nagano 2-1 Fukushima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 20 Mar 2024

📅20/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.36/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.27
-2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Fukushima United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.09.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-1 HT 0-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
30.04.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-3 HT 2-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
18.09.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-1 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
03.04.2022 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-1 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
14.11.2021 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-1 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
02.05.2021 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-1 HT 0-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
2-1
AWAY Fukushima United
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Fukushima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano squeezed past Fukushima United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Parceiro Nagano as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 48% of the ball to Fukushima United's 52%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fukushima United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Parceiro Nagano and 1.17 for Fukushima United.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Fukushima United?

Parceiro Nagano 2-1 Fukushima United in the Japan - J3 League on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Fukushima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parceiro Nagano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 41%, draw 24%, Fukushima United 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) ✗ Under 2.5
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