Nara Club 1-0 Vanraure Hachinohe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 20 Mar 2024

📅20/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nara Club EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanraure Hachinohe EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +21%
1.23/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.52
-4% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
257 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nara Club
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Vanraure Hachinohe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
16.09.2023 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe 1-1 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
12.03.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 1-1 HT 0-1 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nara Club
1-0
AWAY Vanraure Hachinohe
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Nara Club vs Vanraure Hachinohe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nara Club edged past Vanraure Hachinohe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nara Club as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nara Club had 58% of the ball to Vanraure Hachinohe's 42%, shots finished 6-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nara Club and 1.00 for Vanraure Hachinohe.

What was the final score of Nara Club vs Vanraure Hachinohe?

Nara Club 1-0 Vanraure Hachinohe in the Japan - J3 League on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nara Club vs Vanraure Hachinohe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nara Club win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nara Club 41%, draw 26%, Vanraure Hachinohe 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nara Club), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nara Club) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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