Gainare Tottori 1-1 Kamatamare Sanuki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 20 Mar 2024

📅20/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
1.39/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.17
+9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainare Tottori
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.10.2023 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 1-2 HT 1-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
26.03.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-2 HT 0-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
20.11.2022 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 3-0 HT 0-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
20.03.2022 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 4-1 HT 1-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
28.11.2021 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 1-3 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
25.04.2021 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 1-0 HT 0-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainare Tottori
1-1
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Gainare Tottori vs Kamatamare Sanuki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainare Tottori and Kamatamare Sanuki couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Gainare Tottori had 48% of the ball to Kamatamare Sanuki's 52%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gainare Tottori had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gainare Tottori and 1.33 for Kamatamare Sanuki.

What was the final score of Gainare Tottori vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

Gainare Tottori 1-1 Kamatamare Sanuki in the Japan - J3 League on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainare Tottori vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainare Tottori win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gainare Tottori 38%, draw 28%, Kamatamare Sanuki 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gainare Tottori), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gainare Tottori) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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