Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 Azul Claro Numazu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 20 Mar 2024

📅20/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.17/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.78
-1% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -37%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
298 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.11.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
22.07.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-0 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
20.11.2022 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-2 HT 1-2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
26.09.2021 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-1 HT 0-1 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
11.07.2021 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-1 HT 1-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1-1
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
35% Ball Possession 65%
16 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Azul Claro Numazu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Azul Claro Numazu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Azul Claro Numazu at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 35% of the ball to Azul Claro Numazu's 65%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 0.60 for Azul Claro Numazu.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 Azul Claro Numazu in the Japan - J3 League on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Azul Claro Numazu win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 31%, draw 26%, Azul Claro Numazu 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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