Augsdaugava 2-1 Riga FC II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.67
Draw
17%
3.54
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.46
No
60%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
33%
+13.2pp
17%
Draw
24%
-7.1pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
64%
-24.7pp
60%
BTTS No
36%
+24.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Augsdaugava EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC II EU Bookmakers 46%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.53
+150% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Augsdaugava vs Riga FC II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Augsdaugava edged past Riga FC II 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Augsdaugava as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Augsdaugava vs Riga FC II?

Augsdaugava 2-1 Riga FC II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Augsdaugava vs Riga FC II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Augsdaugava win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Augsdaugava 47%, draw 17%, Riga FC II 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Augsdaugava) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Augsdaugava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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