Rigas FS II 2-0 Smiltene — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-5.5pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.9pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas FS II EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Smiltene EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.67/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.73
+21% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
451 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rigas FS II
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Smiltene
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
17.08.2024 Smiltene Smiltene 0-3 HT 0-2 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II LET1
21.04.2024 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II 7-0 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
12.11.2023 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II 5-4 HT 3-4 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
29.07.2023 Smiltene Smiltene 2-1 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II LET1
POST-MATCH Rigas FS II vs Smiltene
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas FS II got the better of Smiltene 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rigas FS II as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rigas FS II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Rigas FS II and 1.50 for Smiltene.

What was the final score of Rigas FS II vs Smiltene?

Rigas FS II 2-0 Smiltene in the Latvia - 1st Division on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas FS II vs Smiltene?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas FS II win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rigas FS II 52%, draw 19%, Smiltene 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas FS II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas FS II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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