Valerenga 3-0 Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.01
2-3 Goals
37%
2.12
4-5 Goals
31%
2.66
6+ Goals
13%
5.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.59
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
18.6
X/1
13%
4.06
X/2
7%
16.05
X/X
9%
8.4
2/1
8%
19.2
2/2
11%
12.3
2/X
6%
21.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
70%
-15.8pp
22%
Draw
18%
+5.0pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Haugesund EU Bookmakers 16%
-13% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.97/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.14
-27% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
38.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
23.1 Crosses 14.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Haugesund
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.49 xG 1.13
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
389 Passes 327
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 1-1 HT 0-1 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
13.05.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 1-1 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
06.11.2022 Haugesund Haugesund 1-1 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
10.04.2022 Valerenga Valerenga 2-1 HT 2-1 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
24.10.2021 Valerenga Valerenga 2-1 HT 0-1 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
18.07.2021 Haugesund Haugesund 3-1 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga
3-0
AWAY Haugesund
3.51 xG 0.52
49% Ball Possession 51%
30 Total Shots 8
13 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 7
312 Passes 329
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
61 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga swept aside Haugesund 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valerenga as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Valerenga had 49% of the ball to Haugesund's 51%, shots finished 30-8, expected goals 3.51 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valerenga had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Valerenga and 1.33 for Haugesund.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Haugesund?

Valerenga 3-0 Haugesund in the Norway - Eliteserien on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 54%, draw 22%, Haugesund 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valerenga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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