HamKam 1-1 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
4.14
6+ Goals
9%
19.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 30% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.03
1/2
11%
30.0
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
13%
5.9
X/2
14%
5.44
X/X
17%
4.32
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
13%
3.7
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +14%
1.05/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.15
-23% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +39%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
21.2 Crosses 16.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Fredrikstad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 0.89
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
317 Passes 376
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 42
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
21.07.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
23.02.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-4 HT 0-3 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad HAZ
20.11.2021 HamKam HamKam 1-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
18.06.2021 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-1 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR1
14.08.2014 HamKam HamKam 1-3 HT 1-3 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HamKam
1-1
AWAY Fredrikstad
0.73 xG 1.84
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
285 Passes 411
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HamKam vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HamKam and Fredrikstad shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, HamKam had 44% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 56%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.73 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fredrikstad led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for HamKam and 1.50 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of HamKam vs Fredrikstad?

HamKam 1-1 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split HamKam 32%, draw 31%, Fredrikstad 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fredrikstad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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