HamKam vs Fredrikstad Prediction — Model Probabilities
HamKam v Fredrikstad — Team-Based Signals
HamKam vs Fredrikstad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
HamKam 0-1 Fredrikstad — Actual Match Statistics
Fredrikstad came out on the right side of a one-goal game with HamKam 1-0 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Fredrikstad found the edge the numbers couldn't.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.
Under the surface, Fredrikstad saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.27 to 0.74 — by the quality of chances, HamKam deserved more.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for HamKam against 1.83 for Fredrikstad.
HamKam vs Fredrikstad Result & Final Score
HamKam 0 - 1 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
HamKam vs Fredrikstad Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a HamKam win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split HamKam 36%, draw 29%, Fredrikstad 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (HamKam), BTTS Yes went the other way.