HamKam 0-1 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 21 Jul 2024

HamKam
0-1 HT 0-0
Fredrikstad
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

HamKam vs Fredrikstad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.96
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.94
6+ Goals
11%
17.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.94 — our 27% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.75
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
10%
5.39
X/2
12%
5.52
X/X
13%
4.28
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
18%
3.88
2/X
5%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.5pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HamKam v Fredrikstad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 38%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +34%
0.89/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.03
-32% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +104% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.8 Crosses 13.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.5

HamKam vs Fredrikstad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Fredrikstad
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.02.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-4 HT 0-3 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad HAZ
20.11.2021 HamKam HamKam 1-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
18.06.2021 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-1 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR1
14.08.2014 HamKam HamKam 1-3 HT 1-3 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
15.06.2014 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-0 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR1
20.10.2013 HamKam HamKam 2-1 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1

HamKam 0-1 Fredrikstad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HamKam
0-1
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.27 xG 0.74
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
301 Passes 341
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 36
26 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH HamKam vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad nicked a narrow win over HamKam 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Fredrikstad found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HamKam had 48% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 52%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.27 to 0.74 — on chances, HamKam could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for HamKam and 1.83 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of HamKam vs Fredrikstad?

HamKam 0-1 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a HamKam win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split HamKam 36%, draw 28%, Fredrikstad 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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