Stromsgodset 0-1 Tromsö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 21 Jul 2024

Stromsgodset
0-1 HT 0-0
Tromsö
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Stromsgodset vs Tromsö Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.16
6+ Goals
8%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.28
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
17%
5.27
X/2
12%
6.05
X/X
10%
5.03
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
12%
3.96
2/X
6%
12.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 10% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stromsgodset v Tromsö — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsö EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +15%
1.46/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.15
-18% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
22.0 Crosses 13.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Stromsgodset vs Tromsö Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stromsgodset
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tromsö
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 1.41
50% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
361 Passes 360
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 0-1 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
30.04.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 0-1 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
09.10.2022 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-2 HT 1-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
31.08.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 1-0 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
07.11.2021 Tromsö Tromsö 1-1 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
27.05.2021 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-1 HT 0-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR

Stromsgodset 0-1 Tromsö — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset
0-1
AWAY Tromsö
2.23 xG 1.74
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
511 Passes 303
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
38 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset vs Tromsö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö edged past Stromsgodset 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Stromsgodset at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stromsgodset had 62% of the ball to Tromsö's 38%, shots finished 19-17, expected goals 2.23 to 1.74 — the balance of chances actually favoured Stromsgodset.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tromsö led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Stromsgodset and 1.00 for Tromsö.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset vs Tromsö?

Stromsgodset 0-1 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset vs Tromsö?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stromsgodset win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset 44%, draw 22%, Tromsö 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stromsgodset) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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