Haugesund 1-0 Viking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.18
2-3 Goals
35%
1.86
4-5 Goals
28%
3.03
6+ Goals
12%
9.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.02
1/2
7%
22.7
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
13%
7.43
X/2
13%
4.71
X/X
9%
5.22
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
20%
2.66
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+8.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-7.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haugesund EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Viking EU Bookmakers 50%
+4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.11/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.44
-8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.2
18.4 Crosses 23.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haugesund
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Viking
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.50 xG 1.98
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
331 Passes 356
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 0-2 HT 0-1 Viking Viking NOR
08.07.2023 Viking Viking 2-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
25.06.2022 Haugesund Haugesund 4-2 HT 1-2 Viking Viking NOR
30.04.2022 Viking Viking 5-1 HT 2-1 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
20.11.2021 Viking Viking 1-1 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
30.05.2021 Haugesund Haugesund 4-2 HT 1-1 Viking Viking NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haugesund
1-0
AWAY Viking
0.74 xG 0.91
31% Ball Possession 69%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 12
218 Passes 552
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 44
11 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Haugesund vs Viking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haugesund edged past Viking 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Haugesund found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Haugesund had 31% of the ball to Viking's 69%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.74 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viking led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Haugesund and 2.33 for Viking.

What was the final score of Haugesund vs Viking?

Haugesund 1-0 Viking in the Norway - Eliteserien on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haugesund vs Viking?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Haugesund 36%, draw 24%, Viking 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Viking) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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