HamKam 0-4 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
21%
3.11
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.6pp
21%
Draw
28%
-7.9pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Fredrikstad
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.11.2021 HamKam HamKam 1-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
18.06.2021 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-1 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR1
14.08.2014 HamKam HamKam 1-3 HT 1-3 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
15.06.2014 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-0 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR1
20.10.2013 HamKam HamKam 2-1 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
27.05.2013 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-0 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HamKam
0-4
AWAY Fredrikstad
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH HamKam vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad swept aside HamKam 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was HamKam at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, HamKam had 42% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 58%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for HamKam and 1.67 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of HamKam vs Fredrikstad?

HamKam 0-4 Fredrikstad in the Friendlies on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a HamKam win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split HamKam 48%, draw 21%, Fredrikstad 31%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (HamKam), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HamKam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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