Fakel 0-0 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fakel EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 34%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+29% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
300 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fakel
2W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Sochi
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.33 xG 0.87
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
175 Passes 283
61% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.11.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-0 HT 2-0 Fakel Fakel RUK
01.10.2023 Fakel Fakel 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
26.07.2023 Fakel Fakel 1-3 HT 1-2 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUK
18.03.2023 Fakel Fakel 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
18.09.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-1 HT 1-1 Fakel Fakel RUS
POST-MATCH Fakel vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fakel and FC Sochi fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Fakel at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Fakel and 1.20 for FC Sochi.

What was the final score of Fakel vs FC Sochi?

Fakel 0-0 FC Sochi in the Friendlies on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fakel vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fakel 45%, draw 25%, FC Sochi 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fakel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fakel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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