Sogndal 2-3 Aalesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Feb 2024

Sogndal
2-3
Aalesund
📅23/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Sogndal vs Aalesund Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.91
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
39%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
14%
+13.9pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.2pp
39%
Away Win
60%
-21.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sogndal v Aalesund — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sogndal EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund EU Bookmakers 64%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Sogndal vs Aalesund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sogndal
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aalesund
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.10.2021 Aalesund Aalesund 3-0 HT 2-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
18.06.2021 Sogndal Sogndal 2-0 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
17.08.2019 Sogndal Sogndal 2-3 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
04.05.2019 Aalesund Aalesund 3-1 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
28.10.2018 Sogndal Sogndal 2-0 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
03.04.2018 Aalesund Aalesund 0-0 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
POST-MATCH Sogndal vs Aalesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund nicked a narrow win over Sogndal 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (28% / 32% / 39%) promised a tight game; Aalesund found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalesund led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sogndal and 1.50 for Aalesund.

What was the final score of Sogndal vs Aalesund?

Sogndal 2-3 Aalesund in the Friendlies on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sogndal vs Aalesund?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sogndal 28%, draw 32%, Aalesund 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalesund) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aalesund) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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