23/02/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Warta Poznan vs Notec Czarnkow Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
24%
Draw
28%
34%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Warta Poznan v Notec Czarnkow — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Warta Poznan
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Notec Czarnkow
EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
404 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
297 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Warta Poznan vs Notec Czarnkow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Warta Poznan got the better of Notec Czarnkow 3-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Warta Poznan as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Notec Czarnkow?
Warta Poznan 3-1 Notec Czarnkow in the Friendlies on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Notec Czarnkow?
Before kick-off our model rated a Warta Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 42%, draw 24%, Notec Czarnkow 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Warta Poznan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Warta Poznan)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
23 Feb 2024