Fredrikstad 1-0 HamKam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 23 Nov 2024

Fredrikstad
1-0 HT 0-0
HamKam
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Fredrikstad vs HamKam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.22
2-3 Goals
47%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.74
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.48
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
13%
13.8
X/1
11%
4.27
X/2
9%
8.52
X/X
9%
4.62
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
13%
6.58
2/X
8%
14.5
Value flag · 1/X at 13.8 — our 13% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fredrikstad v HamKam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY HamKam EU Bookmakers 26%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +23%
1.41/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.30
-2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
15.5 Crosses 21.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Fredrikstad vs HamKam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
4W-0D-2L
AWAY HamKam
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.74 xG 1.27
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
341 Passes 301
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
36 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.07.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
23.02.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-4 HT 0-3 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad HAZ
20.11.2021 HamKam HamKam 1-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
18.06.2021 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-1 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR1
14.08.2014 HamKam HamKam 1-3 HT 1-3 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
15.06.2014 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-0 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR1

Fredrikstad 1-0 HamKam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
1-0
AWAY HamKam
1.03 xG 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
411 Passes 333
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
48 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs HamKam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad nicked a narrow win over HamKam 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fredrikstad as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 54% of the ball to HamKam's 46%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.03 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fredrikstad had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fredrikstad and 0.50 for HamKam.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs HamKam?

Fredrikstad 1-0 HamKam in the Norway - Eliteserien on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs HamKam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 43%, draw 29%, HamKam 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fredrikstad) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✗ BTTS Yes
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