Molde 2-1 Brann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 23 Nov 2024

Molde
2-1 HT 2-0
Brann
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.57
2-3 Goals
36%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.93
6+ Goals
15%
8.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.9
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
8%
12.35
X/1
14%
5.15
X/2
13%
7.08
X/X
10%
5.29
2/1
7%
23.4
2/2
19%
4.54
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+8.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.5pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
2.01/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.19
+14% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
20.3 Crosses 16.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Brann
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.06 xG 1.44
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 9
245 Passes 376
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.05.2024 Brann Brann 1-3 HT 1-0 Molde Molde NOR
19.03.2024 Molde Molde 1-0 HT 1-0 Brann Brann HAZ
21.10.2023 Brann Brann 3-2 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
09.07.2023 Molde Molde 2-0 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
28.11.2021 Brann Brann 0-1 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR
16.05.2021 Molde Molde 4-0 HT 3-0 Brann Brann NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Molde
2-1
AWAY Brann
1.70 xG 2.36
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
204 Passes 521
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 41
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Molde vs Brann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde edged past Brann 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Molde made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Molde had 32% of the ball to Brann's 68%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.70 to 2.36 — the balance of chances actually favoured Brann.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Molde and 0.67 for Brann.

What was the final score of Molde vs Brann?

Molde 2-1 Brann in the Norway - Eliteserien on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde vs Brann?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Molde 37%, draw 25%, Brann 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brann) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brann) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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