Tromsö 2-0 Stromsgodset — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
21%
2.94
6+ Goals
15%
8.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.81
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.15
X/1
24%
3.78
X/2
7%
13.0
X/X
14%
6.55
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.35
2/2
7%
9.72
2/X
8%
17.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.35 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.8pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.5pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.4pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +19%
1.91/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.26
-23% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
21.1 Crosses 14.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Stromsgodset
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.50 xG 1.28
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
351 Passes 401
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.07.2024 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 0-1 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
05.11.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 0-1 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
30.04.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 0-1 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
09.10.2022 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-2 HT 1-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
31.08.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 1-0 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
07.11.2021 Tromsö Tromsö 1-1 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
2-0
AWAY Stromsgodset
1.87 xG 1.08
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
350 Passes 568
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
23 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs Stromsgodset
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö saw off Stromsgodset 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tromsö as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tromsö had 40% of the ball to Stromsgodset's 60%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.87 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tromsö had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tromsö and 0.50 for Stromsgodset.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs Stromsgodset?

Tromsö 2-0 Stromsgodset in the Norway - Eliteserien on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs Stromsgodset?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 53%, draw 27%, Stromsgodset 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsö) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tromsö) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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