Viking 5-1 Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.43
Over 2.5
62%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.3
2-3 Goals
33%
2.0
4-5 Goals
29%
2.73
6+ Goals
18%
6.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.93
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.85
X/1
13%
4.03
X/2
9%
11.3
X/X
13%
6.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.9
2/2
8%
7.77
2/X
5%
16.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.9 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.4pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
+0.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
-0.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.3pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viking EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Haugesund EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +19%
2.09/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.41
+14% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
35.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
26.0 Crosses 16.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viking
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Haugesund
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.78 xG 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
396 Passes 321
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Haugesund Haugesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Viking Viking NOR
16.09.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 0-2 HT 0-1 Viking Viking NOR
08.07.2023 Viking Viking 2-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
25.06.2022 Haugesund Haugesund 4-2 HT 1-2 Viking Viking NOR
30.04.2022 Viking Viking 5-1 HT 2-1 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
20.11.2021 Viking Viking 1-1 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viking
5-1
AWAY Haugesund
3.06 xG 1.17
64% Ball Possession 36%
32 Total Shots 11
13 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
490 Passes 230
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
53 Box Touches 14
42 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viking vs Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking ran out comfortable winners over Haugesund 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Viking as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Viking had 64% of the ball to Haugesund's 36%, shots finished 32-11, expected goals 3.06 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viking had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Viking and 1.17 for Haugesund.

What was the final score of Viking vs Haugesund?

Viking 5-1 Haugesund in the Norway - Eliteserien on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viking vs Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Viking 48%, draw 26%, Haugesund 26%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viking), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viking) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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