Stal Mielec 0-4 Wisla Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
39%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.49
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.19
6+ Goals
13%
11.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.19 — our 28% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
13%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
26%
+11.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
39%
Away Win
49%
-10.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.5pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Krakow EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
247 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Mielec
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Wisla Krakow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.25 xG 1.79
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
238 Passes 385
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2022 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-1 HT 1-1 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow HAZ
12.02.2022 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 0-1 HT 0-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
22.09.2021 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-3 HT 0-2 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POLK
13.08.2021 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 2-1 HT 1-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
21.03.2021 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 3-1 HT 0-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
18.10.2020 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 0-6 HT 0-3 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
0-4
AWAY Wisla Krakow
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stal Mielec vs Wisla Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Krakow ran out comfortable winners over Stal Mielec 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Wisla Krakow made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Stal Mielec had 54% of the ball to Wisla Krakow's 46%, shots finished 12-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wisla Krakow led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stal Mielec and 2.33 for Wisla Krakow.

What was the final score of Stal Mielec vs Wisla Krakow?

Stal Mielec 0-4 Wisla Krakow in the Poland - 1st Division on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Mielec vs Wisla Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wisla Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 37%, draw 24%, Wisla Krakow 39%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Krakow), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Krakow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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